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加息地缘忧虑纾缓港股望企稳31000点 焦点重回业绩
2018-05-22 07:05 新浪港股
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  新浪港股讯 据香港经济日报报道,美国上月平均时薪增幅回落,意味过去一个月困扰市场的快速加息忧虑得以纾缓,美朝首脑破天荒会谈亦有利地缘局势稳定,加上两会步入尾声令政策趋于明朗化,均利好投资气氛,港股短线料可守稳50天线(现处31220点)。

  本周5蓝筹发榜 恒指占比6.4%

  尽管贸易战阴霾未除,惟市场相信,投资者焦点会重回基本因素,留意企业业绩表现,恒指有望再向上闯,企稳于31000点。本周再有5只共占恒指比重6.4%的蓝筹股发榜,包括长和系4只股份及太古A(00019),市场憧憬绩优股有增派息可能,对大市构成新支持。

  美股上周五全线造好,道指急升440点。本港主要蓝筹股在美挂牌的预托证券(ADR)普遍跟随上扬,若港股今日开市反映外围升势,相当于整体大市上升397点。

  受惠楼市畅旺,早前公布业绩的本地发展商盈利亦有惊喜。对于再有地产股发榜,长江证券资产管理(香港)董事总经理冯时暖指,去年第三季起一手楼价量有不俗增长,下半年物业发展收益应好过上半年,‘料整体业绩表现不错、甚至比市场预期好’,对股价会有支持。

  对于拟提前部署绩优股的投资者,星展香港财富管理部署理投资总监(北亚)李振豪预计,科网、港银及零售股均可以看高一线,他续指本地银行股受惠去年拆息上扬利好净息差,而科网股则具备分拆憧憬。

  中央人事政策趋明朗 利气氛

  市场同时观望下半月相继发榜的重磅科网股及内银股。霸菱香港中国股票投资董事方伟昌指,内银股的增长预期及去年盈利基数俱较低,当其他行业要维持去年的增长步伐时,本身受惠加息周期及去杠杆措施的银行股,有较大机会公布胜预期的成绩。另外,内地消费层面重拾通胀动力,通胀可为消费类企业带来更多议价力,故看好消费股。

  方伟昌续称,市场对今年两会的关注点侧重在政治及人事变动,包括领导层的权力持续性。由于中央领导层在改革及创新的力度已获认可,若往后权力更趋向集中,相信市场会解读为更稳定,对股市也有帮助。

  整体大市方面,他认为估值提升及北水动力因素并无改变,而港股市场正积极扩阔上市制度改革,相信估值不贵的恒指及国指长远仍然有上升动力。

  李振豪亦认同,外围风险逐渐淡化,加上随着两会完结,北水普遍会转趋活跃,相信待联储局下周议息后,港股后市会较为明朗。

责任编辑:白仲平

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